Priced and moved: the 2026 record
The priced side retains the Nov 2 close reading, the last full-session reading before Election Day. The moved side compares the Nov 3 and Nov 4 closes.
| Year | Priced | Moved |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
The Nov 4 close has passed. The 2026 row fills in once the official Nov 3 and Nov 4 closing values are posted and recorded beside the stored Nov 2 reading. Next recording pass: Nov 4, 22:40 ET.
What this cannot tell you
A one-standard-deviation band is exceeded about one session in three under the model. One observation is not a hit rate or evidence of cause. Risk-neutral, not a forecast.
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