Jobs report, November 6, 2026
The Bureau of Labor Statistics schedule lists the Employment Situation release for Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET. On the 382 jobs report days since Feb 4, 1994, the S&P 500's median close-to-close move was 0.69%, against 0.53% on all sessions.
Date and time
- Employment Situation: Friday, November 6, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET. The monthly payroll and household survey release, the report usually referred to as payrolls. Bureau of Labor Statistics, checked Sep 14, 2026.
Add the election week dates, the Nov 6 jobs report included, to a calendar (ICS)
What options price for it
SPX expected move, read off the option chain each session. A risk-neutral price of movement, not a forecast.
The S&P 500 on past jobs report days
On the 382 jobs report days from Feb 4, 1994 through Oct 2, 2026, the S&P 500's median close-to-close move was 0.69%, larger than the 0.53% median across all 8,228 sessions from Feb 4, 1994 to Oct 16, 2026.
It closed higher on 218 of the 382 (57.1%), against 53.9% of all sessions.
It moved more than 1% either way on 34.8% of them, against 26.5% of all sessions.
10 jobs report days fell on a market holiday, with no session to measure: Apr 1, 1994, Apr 5, 1996, Apr 2, 1999, Apr 6, 2007, Apr 2, 2010, Apr 6, 2012, Apr 3, 2015, Apr 2, 2021, Apr 7, 2023, Apr 3, 2026.
In 2026, through Oct 2, 2026, it closed lower on 3 of the 9 jobs report days, the smallest move 0.00% on Feb 11 (small sample, 9 days).
2026 (small sample, 9 days)
| Jobs report day | S&P 500 close to close |
|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | +0.73% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -0.38% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | +0.62% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 0.00% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -2.64% |
| May 8, 2026 | +0.84% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | -1.33% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 0.00% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | +0.65% |
All 382 jobs report days since Feb 4, 1994, newest first
| Jobs report day | S&P 500 close to close |
|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | +0.73% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -0.38% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | +0.62% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 0.00% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -2.64% |
| May 8, 2026 | +0.84% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | -1.33% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 0.00% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | +0.65% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | -0.24% |
| Nov 20, 2025 | -1.56% |
| Sep 5, 2025 | -0.32% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | -1.60% |
| Jul 3, 2025 | +0.83% |
| Jun 6, 2025 | +1.03% |
| May 2, 2025 | +1.47% |
| Apr 4, 2025 | -5.97% |
| Mar 7, 2025 | +0.55% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | -0.95% |
| Jan 10, 2025 | -1.54% |
| Dec 6, 2024 | +0.25% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | +0.41% |
| Oct 4, 2024 | +0.90% |
| Sep 6, 2024 | -1.73% |
| Aug 2, 2024 | -1.84% |
| Jul 5, 2024 | +0.54% |
| Jun 7, 2024 | -0.11% |
| May 3, 2024 | +1.26% |
| Apr 5, 2024 | +1.11% |
| Mar 8, 2024 | -0.65% |
| Feb 2, 2024 | +1.07% |
| Jan 5, 2024 | +0.18% |
| Dec 8, 2023 | +0.41% |
| Nov 3, 2023 | +0.94% |
| Oct 6, 2023 | +1.18% |
| Sep 1, 2023 | +0.18% |
| Aug 4, 2023 | -0.53% |
| Jul 7, 2023 | -0.29% |
| Jun 2, 2023 | +1.45% |
| May 5, 2023 | +1.85% |
| Mar 10, 2023 | -1.45% |
| Feb 3, 2023 | -1.04% |
| Jan 6, 2023 | +2.28% |
| Dec 2, 2022 | -0.12% |
| Nov 4, 2022 | +1.36% |
| Oct 7, 2022 | -2.80% |
| Sep 2, 2022 | -1.07% |
| Aug 5, 2022 | -0.16% |
| Jul 8, 2022 | -0.08% |
| Jun 3, 2022 | -1.63% |
| May 6, 2022 | -0.57% |
| Apr 1, 2022 | +0.34% |
| Mar 4, 2022 | -0.79% |
| Feb 4, 2022 | +0.52% |
| Jan 7, 2022 | -0.41% |
| Dec 3, 2021 | -0.84% |
| Nov 5, 2021 | +0.37% |
| Oct 8, 2021 | -0.19% |
| Sep 3, 2021 | -0.03% |
| Aug 6, 2021 | +0.17% |
| Jul 2, 2021 | +0.75% |
| Jun 4, 2021 | +0.88% |
| May 7, 2021 | +0.74% |
| Mar 5, 2021 | +1.95% |
| Feb 5, 2021 | +0.39% |
| Jan 8, 2021 | +0.55% |
| Dec 4, 2020 | +0.88% |
| Nov 6, 2020 | -0.03% |
| Oct 2, 2020 | -0.96% |
| Sep 4, 2020 | -0.81% |
| Aug 7, 2020 | +0.06% |
| Jul 2, 2020 | +0.45% |
| Jun 5, 2020 | +2.62% |
| May 8, 2020 | +1.69% |
| Apr 3, 2020 | -1.51% |
| Mar 6, 2020 | -1.71% |
| Feb 7, 2020 | -0.54% |
| Jan 10, 2020 | -0.29% |
| Dec 6, 2019 | +0.91% |
| Nov 1, 2019 | +0.97% |
| Oct 4, 2019 | +1.42% |
| Sep 6, 2019 | +0.09% |
| Aug 2, 2019 | -0.73% |
| Jul 5, 2019 | -0.18% |
| Jun 7, 2019 | +1.05% |
| May 3, 2019 | +0.96% |
| Apr 5, 2019 | +0.46% |
| Mar 8, 2019 | -0.21% |
| Feb 1, 2019 | +0.09% |
| Jan 4, 2019 | +3.43% |
| Dec 7, 2018 | -2.33% |
| Nov 2, 2018 | -0.63% |
| Oct 5, 2018 | -0.55% |
| Sep 7, 2018 | -0.22% |
| Aug 3, 2018 | +0.46% |
| Jul 6, 2018 | +0.85% |
| Jun 1, 2018 | +1.08% |
| May 4, 2018 | +1.28% |
| Apr 6, 2018 | -2.19% |
| Mar 9, 2018 | +1.74% |
| Feb 2, 2018 | -2.12% |
| Jan 5, 2018 | +0.70% |
| Dec 8, 2017 | +0.55% |
| Nov 3, 2017 | +0.31% |
| Oct 6, 2017 | -0.11% |
| Sep 1, 2017 | +0.20% |
| Aug 4, 2017 | +0.19% |
| Jul 7, 2017 | +0.64% |
| Jun 2, 2017 | +0.37% |
| May 5, 2017 | +0.41% |
| Apr 7, 2017 | -0.08% |
| Mar 10, 2017 | +0.33% |
| Feb 3, 2017 | +0.73% |
| Jan 6, 2017 | +0.35% |
| Dec 2, 2016 | +0.04% |
| Nov 4, 2016 | -0.17% |
| Oct 7, 2016 | -0.33% |
| Sep 2, 2016 | +0.42% |
| Aug 5, 2016 | +0.86% |
| Jul 8, 2016 | +1.53% |
| Jun 3, 2016 | -0.29% |
| May 6, 2016 | +0.32% |
| Apr 1, 2016 | +0.63% |
| Mar 4, 2016 | +0.33% |
| Feb 5, 2016 | -1.85% |
| Jan 8, 2016 | -1.08% |
| Dec 4, 2015 | +2.05% |
| Nov 6, 2015 | -0.03% |
| Oct 2, 2015 | +1.43% |
| Sep 4, 2015 | -1.53% |
| Aug 7, 2015 | -0.29% |
| Jul 2, 2015 | -0.03% |
| Jun 5, 2015 | -0.14% |
| May 8, 2015 | +1.35% |
| Mar 6, 2015 | -1.42% |
| Feb 6, 2015 | -0.34% |
| Jan 9, 2015 | -0.84% |
| Dec 5, 2014 | +0.17% |
| Nov 7, 2014 | +0.03% |
| Oct 3, 2014 | +1.12% |
| Sep 5, 2014 | +0.50% |
| Aug 1, 2014 | -0.29% |
| Jul 3, 2014 | +0.55% |
| Jun 6, 2014 | +0.46% |
| May 2, 2014 | -0.13% |
| Apr 4, 2014 | -1.25% |
| Mar 7, 2014 | +0.05% |
| Feb 7, 2014 | +1.33% |
| Jan 10, 2014 | +0.23% |
| Dec 6, 2013 | +1.12% |
| Nov 8, 2013 | +1.34% |
| Oct 22, 2013 | +0.57% |
| Sep 6, 2013 | +0.01% |
| Aug 2, 2013 | +0.16% |
| Jul 5, 2013 | +1.02% |
| Jun 7, 2013 | +1.28% |
| May 3, 2013 | +1.05% |
| Apr 5, 2013 | -0.43% |
| Mar 8, 2013 | +0.45% |
| Feb 1, 2013 | +1.01% |
| Jan 4, 2013 | +0.49% |
| Dec 7, 2012 | +0.29% |
| Nov 2, 2012 | -0.94% |
| Oct 5, 2012 | -0.03% |
| Sep 7, 2012 | +0.40% |
| Aug 3, 2012 | +1.90% |
| Jul 6, 2012 | -0.94% |
| Jun 1, 2012 | -2.46% |
| May 4, 2012 | -1.61% |
| Mar 9, 2012 | +0.36% |
| Feb 3, 2012 | +1.46% |
| Jan 6, 2012 | -0.25% |
| Dec 2, 2011 | -0.02% |
| Nov 4, 2011 | -0.63% |
| Oct 7, 2011 | -0.82% |
| Sep 2, 2011 | -2.53% |
| Aug 5, 2011 | -0.06% |
| Jul 8, 2011 | -0.70% |
| Jun 3, 2011 | -0.97% |
| May 6, 2011 | +0.38% |
| Apr 1, 2011 | +0.50% |
| Mar 4, 2011 | -0.74% |
| Feb 4, 2011 | +0.29% |
| Jan 7, 2011 | -0.18% |
| Dec 3, 2010 | +0.26% |
| Nov 5, 2010 | +0.39% |
| Oct 8, 2010 | +0.61% |
| Sep 3, 2010 | +1.32% |
| Aug 6, 2010 | -0.37% |
| Jul 2, 2010 | -0.47% |
| Jun 4, 2010 | -3.44% |
| May 7, 2010 | -1.53% |
| Mar 5, 2010 | +1.40% |
| Feb 5, 2010 | +0.29% |
| Jan 8, 2010 | +0.29% |
| Dec 4, 2009 | +0.55% |
| Nov 6, 2009 | +0.25% |
| Oct 2, 2009 | -0.45% |
| Sep 4, 2009 | +1.31% |
| Aug 7, 2009 | +1.34% |
| Jul 2, 2009 | -2.91% |
| Jun 5, 2009 | -0.25% |
| May 8, 2009 | +2.41% |
| Apr 3, 2009 | +0.97% |
| Mar 6, 2009 | +0.12% |
| Feb 6, 2009 | +2.69% |
| Jan 9, 2009 | -2.13% |
| Dec 5, 2008 | +3.65% |
| Nov 7, 2008 | +2.89% |
| Oct 3, 2008 | -1.35% |
| Sep 5, 2008 | +0.44% |
| Aug 1, 2008 | -0.56% |
| Jul 3, 2008 | +0.11% |
| Jun 6, 2008 | -3.09% |
| May 2, 2008 | +0.32% |
| Apr 4, 2008 | +0.08% |
| Mar 7, 2008 | -0.84% |
| Feb 1, 2008 | +1.22% |
| Jan 4, 2008 | -2.46% |
| Dec 7, 2007 | -0.18% |
| Nov 2, 2007 | +0.08% |
| Oct 5, 2007 | +0.96% |
| Sep 7, 2007 | -1.69% |
| Aug 3, 2007 | -2.66% |
| Jul 6, 2007 | +0.33% |
| Jun 1, 2007 | +0.37% |
| May 4, 2007 | +0.21% |
| Mar 9, 2007 | +0.07% |
| Feb 2, 2007 | +0.17% |
| Jan 5, 2007 | -0.61% |
| Dec 8, 2006 | +0.18% |
| Nov 3, 2006 | -0.22% |
| Oct 6, 2006 | -0.27% |
| Sep 1, 2006 | +0.55% |
| Aug 4, 2006 | -0.07% |
| Jul 7, 2006 | -0.67% |
| Jun 2, 2006 | +0.20% |
| May 5, 2006 | +1.03% |
| Apr 7, 2006 | -1.03% |
| Mar 10, 2006 | +0.73% |
| Feb 3, 2006 | -0.54% |
| Jan 6, 2006 | +0.94% |
| Dec 2, 2005 | +0.03% |
| Nov 4, 2005 | +0.02% |
| Oct 7, 2005 | +0.37% |
| Sep 2, 2005 | -0.29% |
| Aug 5, 2005 | -0.76% |
| Jul 8, 2005 | +1.17% |
| Jun 3, 2005 | -0.69% |
| May 6, 2005 | -0.11% |
| Apr 1, 2005 | -0.65% |
| Mar 4, 2005 | +0.96% |
| Feb 4, 2005 | +1.10% |
| Jan 7, 2005 | -0.14% |
| Dec 3, 2004 | +0.07% |
| Nov 5, 2004 | +0.39% |
| Oct 8, 2004 | -0.75% |
| Sep 3, 2004 | -0.42% |
| Aug 6, 2004 | -1.55% |
| Jul 2, 2004 | -0.32% |
| Jun 4, 2004 | +0.52% |
| May 7, 2004 | -1.37% |
| Apr 2, 2004 | +0.85% |
| Mar 5, 2004 | +0.17% |
| Feb 6, 2004 | +1.26% |
| Jan 9, 2004 | -0.89% |
| Dec 5, 2003 | -0.77% |
| Nov 7, 2003 | -0.46% |
| Oct 3, 2003 | +0.94% |
| Sep 5, 2003 | -0.64% |
| Aug 1, 2003 | -1.03% |
| Jul 3, 2003 | -0.81% |
| Jun 6, 2003 | -0.24% |
| May 2, 2003 | +1.50% |
| Apr 4, 2003 | +0.27% |
| Mar 7, 2003 | +0.83% |
| Feb 7, 2003 | -1.01% |
| Jan 10, 2003 | 0.00% |
| Dec 6, 2002 | +0.63% |
| Nov 1, 2002 | +1.72% |
| Oct 4, 2002 | -2.24% |
| Sep 6, 2002 | +1.68% |
| Aug 2, 2002 | -2.31% |
| Jul 5, 2002 | +3.67% |
| Jun 7, 2002 | -0.16% |
| May 3, 2002 | -1.03% |
| Apr 5, 2002 | -0.32% |
| Mar 8, 2002 | +0.58% |
| Feb 1, 2002 | -0.71% |
| Jan 4, 2002 | +0.62% |
| Dec 7, 2001 | -0.75% |
| Nov 2, 2001 | +0.29% |
| Oct 5, 2001 | +0.16% |
| Sep 7, 2001 | -1.86% |
| Aug 3, 2001 | -0.52% |
| Jul 6, 2001 | -2.35% |
| Jun 1, 2001 | +0.39% |
| May 4, 2001 | +1.44% |
| Apr 6, 2001 | -2.00% |
| Mar 9, 2001 | -2.48% |
| Feb 2, 2001 | -1.75% |
| Jan 5, 2001 | -2.62% |
| Dec 8, 2000 | +1.96% |
| Nov 3, 2000 | -0.11% |
| Oct 6, 2000 | -1.90% |
| Sep 1, 2000 | +0.20% |
| Aug 4, 2000 | +0.71% |
| Jul 7, 2000 | +1.53% |
| Jun 2, 2000 | +1.96% |
| May 5, 2000 | +1.64% |
| Apr 7, 2000 | +1.00% |
| Mar 3, 2000 | +1.98% |
| Feb 4, 2000 | -0.04% |
| Jan 7, 2000 | +2.71% |
| Dec 3, 1999 | +1.72% |
| Nov 5, 1999 | +0.56% |
| Oct 8, 1999 | +1.39% |
| Sep 3, 1999 | +2.89% |
| Aug 6, 1999 | -1.02% |
| Jul 2, 1999 | +0.74% |
| Jun 4, 1999 | +2.17% |
| May 7, 1999 | +0.97% |
| Mar 5, 1999 | +2.31% |
| Feb 5, 1999 | -0.73% |
| Jan 8, 1999 | +0.42% |
| Dec 4, 1998 | +2.31% |
| Nov 5, 1998 | +1.36% |
| Oct 2, 1998 | +1.64% |
| Sep 4, 1998 | -0.85% |
| Aug 7, 1998 | -0.02% |
| Jul 2, 1998 | -0.19% |
| Jun 5, 1998 | +1.74% |
| May 8, 1998 | +1.19% |
| Apr 3, 1998 | +0.24% |
| Mar 6, 1998 | +1.99% |
| Feb 6, 1998 | +0.89% |
| Jan 9, 1998 | -2.97% |
| Dec 5, 1997 | +1.10% |
| Nov 7, 1997 | -1.12% |
| Oct 3, 1997 | +0.48% |
| Sep 5, 1997 | -0.20% |
| Aug 1, 1997 | -0.75% |
| Jul 3, 1997 | +1.43% |
| Jun 6, 1997 | +1.73% |
| May 2, 1997 | +1.81% |
| Apr 4, 1997 | +0.93% |
| Mar 7, 1997 | +0.68% |
| Feb 7, 1997 | +0.90% |
| Jan 10, 1997 | +0.62% |
| Dec 6, 1996 | -0.64% |
| Nov 1, 1996 | -0.21% |
| Oct 4, 1996 | +1.25% |
| Sep 6, 1996 | +0.96% |
| Aug 2, 1996 | +1.92% |
| Jul 5, 1996 | -2.22% |
| Jun 7, 1996 | +0.04% |
| May 3, 1996 | -0.27% |
| Mar 8, 1996 | -3.08% |
| Feb 2, 1996 | -0.41% |
| Jan 19, 1996 | +0.59% |
| Dec 8, 1995 | +0.21% |
| Nov 3, 1995 | +0.14% |
| Oct 6, 1995 | -0.02% |
| Sep 1, 1995 | +0.35% |
| Aug 4, 1995 | +0.03% |
| Jul 7, 1995 | +0.43% |
| Jun 2, 1995 | -0.18% |
| May 5, 1995 | -0.08% |
| Apr 7, 1995 | +0.07% |
| Mar 10, 1995 | +1.33% |
| Feb 3, 1995 | +1.24% |
| Jan 6, 1995 | +0.07% |
| Dec 2, 1994 | +0.98% |
| Nov 4, 1994 | -1.20% |
| Oct 7, 1994 | +0.61% |
| Sep 2, 1994 | -0.46% |
| Aug 5, 1994 | -0.29% |
| Jul 8, 1994 | +0.26% |
| Jun 3, 1994 | +0.54% |
| May 6, 1994 | -0.79% |
| Mar 4, 1994 | +0.37% |
| Feb 4, 1994 | -2.27% |
SquawkFlow's computation on Oct 17, 2026: S&P 500 index closes from Cboe, jobs report days from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, each move from the prior session's close to the event day's close. Every jobs report day in the span is listed below. Release dates are set in advance by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, not chosen by price, and each row measures one session's move, so no row is dropped for being close to another (closest pair: 10 sessions apart). The median comparison word follows a permutation check (10,000 random same-size samples). History, not a forecast. Dates: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Closes: Cboe.
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Nothing here is advice.