Election 2026: what SPX options price for the Nov 4 session.Election 2026: what SPX options price

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PEP expected move for earnings

PepsiCo Inc. reported on Thu, Oct 8, 2026, before the open. The first session that trades on the report is Thu, Oct 8, 2026.

PEP PRICED EARNINGS MOVECaptured 2026-10-07 15:59 ET
4.13%Priced move through the Oct 9 expiry, 3 sessions including the report (one standard deviation)
$5.10The same move in dollars, on a $123.70 forward
$4.16ATM straddle, 124 strike, 2026-10-09 expiry (3.4%)

A risk-neutral price of movement read off option prices: what the options market charges for a one standard deviation move, not a forecast of how far the stock will move. Option prices carry a variance risk premium, so this figure reads larger than realized moves on average.

The report is out. This is the move priced before it, from the last chain reading taken before the report. No realized move is shown in this figure. The earnings call below scores the report session's close to close move once the official closes are in.

How this figure is read

No two expirations settle at consecutive closes around the report session, so this is read off the first expiration after it (2026-10-09). It includes 2 ordinary sessions besides the report session, so it reads larger than the report alone.

Source: the delayed Cboe options chain. The at-the-money straddle price is the figure many sites call the expected move. It is about 0.8 of one standard deviation.

Cross-check from the at-the-money straddle: 4.21%.

A risk-neutral price of movement read off option prices: what the options market charges for a one standard deviation move, not a forecast of how far the stock will move. Option prices carry a variance risk premium, so this figure reads larger than realized moves on average. Nothing here is advice.

Report date and time: the company's investor relations release, checked Wed, Oct 7, 2026. A report is listed only once the company itself has announced the date and whether it reports before the open or after the close, in its investor relations release or an SEC filing. Each date links to that announcement. Projected dates are left out.

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